摘要:应急决策属于在有限时间内的非程序性对策性决策,其水平的高低受应急管理目标、社会安全事件状态、决策信息及其他资源、决策时间与程序,以及决策者素质与经验等条件的约束。建立应急决策辅助系统,是提高社会安全事件应急决策水平的有效方法。
关键词: 社会安全事件; 应急决策; 决策辅助系统
Social Security events in the emergency decision-making analysis
Abstract:
Emergency belonging to the decision-making for a limited period of time the non-response decision-making process, the level of emergency management by objectives, social security incident, the decision-making information and other resources, time and decision-making procedures and decision-makers with the quality of the experience conditions . The establishment of emergency decision-making support system is to improve the social security emergencies an effective way to the level of decision-making.
Keywords: social security incident; emergency decision-making; decision support system
一.引言
应急决策是社会安全事件应急管理的先导,应急决策水平的高低直接影响着社会安全事件应急管理的成败。世界著名的政策科学家叶海尔•德罗尔曾经说过:“危机决策是逆境中政策制定的一种特殊方式,它对许多国家具有极大的现实重要性,对所有国家则具有潜在的至关重要性。危机越是普遍或致命,有效的危机决策就越显得关键。”本文拟从应急决策本身的特征入手,对应急决策的约束条件及对策进行分析。