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字数:26453.页数:46 论文编号:JD413
摘要
当前中国电力行业体制改革正在逐步深入,实施“厂网分开,竞价上网”是大势所趋。在这一背景下,研究发电企业上网报价策略及发电报价辅助决策支持系统具有十分重要的现实意义。在电力工业体制改革深入发展的背景下,研究和探讨发电企业最优竞价策略以及开发相应的辅助决策支持系统就成为当前符合电力工业发展需求的一个新兴、热点话题。它所具有的前沿性、时效性、应用性及推广性等多重特征,决定了本论文撰写的紧迫性、可行性和必要性。
随着电力市场的逐步开放,发电公司迫切需要一套参与市场竞争的辅助决策支持系统,以帮助管理层进行企业生产经营管理,为交易员提供交易的竞价决策方案,最终实现最佳经济效益。本文结合目前国内外电力市场运营技术系统的研究,探讨了发电报价辅助决策支持系统的设计原则和目标,对系统的总体框架及系统各组成模块、功能和数据传输进行了较为全面的设计。
Abstract
At present, chinese power industry system reform deepening progressively. It is the trend to implement the policy of separating generation from transmission and creating a price competition system in the generation side .In this instance, the research on the bidding strategy theory and decision making support system for the power producers is very important. In this developing background of electric power industries, the researching of assistant“Decision Supporting System”(DSS for short)for electric power utility is a new and hot subject, which has a multi-characteristic of front line, aging, apply and polularizing, and decides the urgence, feasibility and necessity of this writing.
Along with the deregulation of the power system, for power suppliers,constructing an assistant decision marking support system to help them make more efficient management is greatly concerned. Combining with the designs of power market operation system in our country and abroad, the thesis discuss the principle and objective of the decision making support system and put forward the system general design, which comprises the system’s whole structure and components, the functions of each components and the data transfer is also discussed.
目 录
1. 绪论 1
1.1课题的研究背景与意义 1
1.2国内外研究现状 3
1.2.1电价预测研究现状 3
1.2.2发电企业报价策略研究现状 4
1.3电力市场历史及国内电力市场进程 6
1.3.1国外电力市场发展历史 6
1.3.2国内电力市场发展现状 7
2.发电侧电力竞价分析 12
2.1发电侧市场力评价体系研究 12
2.1.1市场力的定义 12
2.1.2市场力评价指标体系的研究与建立 12
2.2发电侧基于博弈论的竞价策略与方法 13
2.2.1博弈论简介 13
2.2.2发电商合谋的规制对策 17
2.3对博弈论在电力市场应用的思考 18
3.发电侧竞价系统软件的设计 20
3.1系统设计原则与目标 20
3.1.1系统设计原则 20
3.1.2系统设计目标 20
3.2系统各模块功能 21
3.2.1信息管理模块 21
3.2.2成本分析模块 22
3.2.3电价预测模块 23
3.2.4发电报价决策模块 23
3.2.5合同管理模块 24
3.2.6结算评估模块 24
致 谢 27
参考文献 28
附 录 29