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论文编号:GM133 论文字数:5442,页数:11
摘 要
汇率是一个国家的货币折换成另一个国家货币的比率，是我国作为开放经济中影响广泛的宏观经济信号。近年来随着我国外汇储备的持续增长和国际游资的大量进入，人民币面临着强大的持续升值压力，自2005年汇改以来，人民币共计升值7.17%；另一方面，房地产业作为国民经济的支柱产业，在国民经济的发展中起着举足轻重的作用。近年，随着南昌市房地产价格一路节节攀升，房价之高令无数百姓望房兴叹。而人民币升值对南昌市房地产市场的价格产生较为明显影响。分析人民币升值对房地产市场价格走势的影响也显得十分必要。本文从人民币升值的角度来着重讨论其对南昌市地产价格的影响并对稳定房地产价格提出了一些建议和对策。
【关键词】国际游资 人民币升值 房地产价格
Abstract
The exchange rate is a ratio of one national currency converts another national currency, is our country took in the open economy affects the widespread macroscopic economical signal.In recent years continued growth of the international floating capital enters into China along with our country’s foreign exchange reserve increased , the Renminbi exchange rate was facing the formidable revaluation pressure; On the other hand, the real estate industry took the national economy the pillar industry, is playing the important role in the national economy development. Recent years Nan Chang’s real estate price group successively climbed, the house price increased so much that common people have no ability to afford it. But the present Renminbi exchange rate revaluation will have the obvious influence to the real estate market price. The analysis to Renminbi exchange rate revaluation to the real estate market price trend influence is extremely essential.
【Key Words】International floating capital ； Renminbi exchange rate,；real estate price
目 录
引言 .................................................2
1 人民币汇率变动与房价变动的理论分析 .................2
1.1传导的预期效应 ....................................2
1.2 传导的财富效应 ...................................3
1.3 传导的通货膨胀效应 ...............................3
1.4 传导的地产股票价格效应 ...........................4
2 人民币升值与南昌市房价变动的实践 ...................5
2.1 关于一些指标的选取 ...............................5
2.2 短期影响 .........................................6
2.3中长期影响 ........................................7
3 稳定南昌市房地产市场价格的一些建议 .................8
3.1削弱市场对人民币升值的预期 ........................8
3.2加强对南昌市房地产市场的治理 ......................8
3.3开发经济适用房 ....................................8
结束语 ...............................................9
参考文献 .............................................10
致 谢 ..............................................11
