摘 要:2001年开始的多哈回合谈判是WTO到目前为止组织的目标最宏伟、参与方最多的新一轮多边贸易谈判,旨在消减贸易壁垒,创建更良好的国际贸易的环境,但由于涉及利益广,众口难调,谈判历时七年,至今仍未取得圆满结果。现今多种新情况层出不穷,贸易投资不平衡、国际油价上涨、资源普遍紧缺,为了争取一个相对有利的国际经济发展环境,最大程度的实现全球的资源共享,多哈回合谈判势必会继续发展。面临多哈回合的一波三折和全球经济化程度不断加深的现实情况,发展中国家必须加快自身调整,增进团结,积极融入全球共同发展的浪潮中,在迎接挑战和机遇的同时维护自身的正当利益,推动多边贸易谈判的发展。
关键词 :经济全球化 多哈回合 趋势 发展中国家 对策
Abstract
The Doha Round Negotiations started from 2001 is the new round of multilateral trade negotiations under the organization of the WTO with so far the most ambitious goal and the largest participants, aimed at reducing trade barriers and creating a sound international trade environment, but as it involves the broad interests of many aspects, and it’s difficult to balance every aspect, so talks which have lasted for seven years, have not yet been a successful outcome. Currently, a number of new cases emerging, which are that trade and investment are out of balance, international oil price rises, resources are generally in short. In order to gain a relatively favorable international economic development environment and the greatest degree of realization of global sharing of resources, the Doha Round negotiations are bound to continue to develop. Facing the reality that the Doha Round were plagued with setbacks and the extent of the global economy continues becomes deepen, developing countries must speed up their adjustment and strength the unity, actively integrate into the global wave of common development, meet the challenges and opportunities at the same time safeguard the legitimate interests of their own and promote the development of multilateral trade negotiations.
Key words: Economic globalization Doha Round Trend Developing countries Countermeasures
引 言
被称为“一代人仅有的一次机会”的多哈回合谈判自2001年11月启动,从西亚图到多哈,再从坎昆到香港,始终无法达成一致。世界银行曾经预测,若是2008年谈判能够成功,可以产生2870亿美元财富,让6600万人摆脱贫困,而发展中国家也可以从中获利860亿美元,相反,如果谈判最终无法恢复,不仅会使世贸组织及其维护的多边贸易体系受损、阻碍全球贸易和经济发展,分析人士还普遍强调,多哈回合谈判如果最终失败,发展中国家特别是较贫穷国家的利益会严重受损,世贸组织中较贫穷成员的发展前景会受到冲击,因为对这些成员来说,参与国际贸易是促进经济增长和消除贫困的希望所在,因此,多哈回合的停滞是临时的,谈判必定会继续向前发展,对多哈回合的趋势进行分析和预测不仅有利于更快推动谈判进程,也更有利于各成员国,尤其是在世界贸易组织中占大部分的发展中国家成员早日采取措施积极应对新的多边贸易情况。